Current Projected Seat Count
INDEPENDENCE
15 -1
PROGRESSIVE
12 +4
SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC ALLIANCE
11 +4
PIRATE
6 nc
LEFT GREEN
6 -5
REFORM
5 +1
CENTRE
3 -4
PEOPLE'S
3 -1
SOCIALIST
2 new
Current Seat Count
Forecast Seat Count
Potential Coalitions
Overview
On 25 September 2021, Iceland is holding a general election to its national unicameral parliament, the Althing. The Althing is composed of 63 members who represent 6 constituencies. 54 seats are elected directly at a constituency level and are allocated proportionally. The remaining 9 seats are nationally determined levelling seats designed to make the total number of seats for each party more representative of their national vote share. These seats are then allocated to constitieuncies.
The current government is a somewhat unusual coaltion of the 3 largest parties. The right-wing Independence Party, centre-right Progressive Party, and the left-wing eco-socialist Left-Green Movement. Current polling suggests that this governing coalition will lose its majority in the Althing, with Left-Green taking a number of losses. Alternative coalitions may have to be formed in this case. Independence Party and the Progressive Party might replace the Left-Green Movement with the centre-right liberal Reform Party and the centre-right conservative Centre Party (and possibly also the socially conservative but pro-welfare People's Party). On the other hand, there's the potential for a centre-right/centre-left coalition between Left-Green Movememnt, centre-left Social Democratic Alliance, Pirate Party, and Reform Party. A purely left-wing government — including Left-Green Movement, Social Democratic Alliance, and the left-wing Socialist Party — will likely be some way off a majority, even with the support of Pirate Party.